Issued: 0530hrs Monday 7th July 2014
Duty forecaster: Garry Nicholson
Mediterranean mostly fine and warm
Monday
Dry and hot in the south of Spain and Portugal, although with a fresh northerly breeze in north-western parts of Iberia. Rain across south-eastern Spain may be heavy and thundery, and also affects the Balearics. An unsettled day across central Europe on Monday with an active cold front bringing heavy spells of rain to southern France, northern Italy, Switzerland and southern parts of Germany. Most of the Mediterranean stays fine and warm, with lengthy spells of sunshine for southern Italy, Greece and Turkey. A scattering of thunderstorms may affect northern France, whilst Belgium and the Netherlands should stay dry except for the odd shower in the afternoon. Staying hot in eastern Europe, highs in the low to mid 30s Celsius, with sunshine and a scattering of afternoon thunderstorms for Poland, the Czech Republic and Austria. Heavy thundery rain in Norway and southern Sweden. Warm across the Baltic region, staying mostly dry in northern Sweden and also Finland.
Tuesday
Low pressure deepens and becomes an active feature across central Europe late Monday into Tuesday, with some very heavy falls of rain for western Germany, Switzerland, Austria and eastern parts of France. Heavy rain later moves north toward the Netherlands. There may be flash flooding with 100mm possible in some areas over a couple of days in some parts of central Europe. Heavy thundery showers also extend across much of France, northern Italy, Austria and the Czech Republic. The Mediterranean is largely dry, with hot sunshine in southern Spain and Portugal. North-west Iberia remains breezy. Southern Italy, Greece and Turkey should see plenty of sunshine. High temperatures continue to extend across eastern Europe and into the Baltic region as warm air feeds north around the low in central Europe. Norway and southern Sweden will see rain or thundery showers, whilst the Baltic states and Finland should stay dry.