Unsettled generally, although a change from mid-November

After a protracted disturbed spell, where low pressure influences have dominated the pattern, it will come as some relief to see that at long last anticyclonic tendencies will have the upper hand, at least during the short term.

With our forecast pattern having taken quite a dent during the middle period, confidence is still rather low, although global models too are not consistent and they do not fill us with confidence either!

We believe that November will most probably see anticyclonic influences being more dominant for much of the month, although the positioning of the high is debatable at this stage. Any minor shift in the position of the high can at this time of year have major implications for the actual weather conditions.

Low pressure is expected to break through the anticyclonic conditions at times as the high declines away, but on the whole high pressure is expected to re-establish for much of the time.

There is the hint that towards the end of November, even though anticyclonic influence may continue to dominate, it may be the case that the centre of the high could be situated more to the west of the United Kingdom and Ireland. This could allow more changeable conditions to move down from the northwest, or even north, so perhaps turning colder with some threat of snow towards the end of the month.

Updated Monday 1st November 2004 Valid Tuesday 2nd November 2004 to Wednesday 1st December 2004

Issued by Weather Consultancy Services Ltd in cooperation with WeatherOnline Ltd.

Subscribe for a detailed week to week forecast of the month ahead! Inquire terms and conditions here!

Compare with past Novembers
Average Temperature
Average Frost Days
Average Days with Precipitation