Changeable short term, but a rise in pressure end of January?
Fresh from the success of our forecast method in picking up the more changeable low pressure pattern last week, we are hoping to keep the run going!
The forecast pattern remains remarkably stable, at least in the short term. The mainly zonal flow that was highlighted late in December, now looks set to last until at least the third week of January.
We do not expect any major anticyclonic spell of weather until at least the middle of the month.
Our belief is still that the forecast pattern will come true and that a pressure rise is likely to take place around the 19th to 20th o the month. The average pattern indicates that this rise will take place to the east or north east of the UK.
It should be noted that there is a chance the pressure rise could actually be over Scandinavia, and if this were the case the weather could be much colder than indicated in our detailed forecast.
The start of February is likely to be unsettled again and possibly cool if the more Scandinavian high option (highlighted above) comes true.
Updated Monday 5th January 2004. Valid Tuesday 6th January 2004 to Wednesday 3rd February 2004.
Issued by Weather Consultancy Services Ltd in cooperation with WeatherOnline Ltd.
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Compare with past Decembers
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Average Frost Days
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