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Updated Monday 11th April 2005. Valid Tuesday 12th April 2005 to Wednesday 11th May 2005.

Dry start, warm for a time. Cold and disturbed end.

The forecast pattern indicates that although conditions may remain quite variable, there is every hint that no more major outbreaks of Arctic air will occur this season, at least any that will be long lasting.

What is evident is that mild to warm spells will continue to alternate with cooler, fresher conditions, but without the contrasts we have seen recently.

The short term may continue to be rather changeable at times, but the indications are that anticyclonic conditions will return to dominate the middle stages of the period.

In the longer term things are less clear cut, but on balance we believe that high pressure will continue to take centre stages, probably migrating west of the country. There is a hint of a more general breakdown in conditions towards the end of the forecast period.

We therefore expect mild to very mild, occasionally cooler weather during the short term with winds fairly strong from the west to northwest, becoming south to southwest at times later.

The middle part of the 30 day forecast will be mainly fine, dry and sunny.

Towards the end of the period winds become more north to northwest with unsettled weather taking hold. It may become cold for a time with a more general breakdown in the weather by the end of the forecast period.