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Issued: 0830hrs Friday 3rd June 2005
Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling

Rain questions

There's a lot of questions flying around the Weatheronline Weather Centre this morning. No, we're not discussing the latest Euro-vote, but the far more important question as to how far north rain will come on Sunday!

There is a small area of low pressure in the Atlantic just now, and it's that which is expected to bring the rain. As always, it is deciding where the low will be tracking and therefore were the rain will be.

At the moment the computer models are fairly consistent, although a change in just a few miles north or south could mean the difference between and fine day on Sunday, or pouring rain.

At the moment the rain looks set to extend into southern Ireland, southern Wales and southwest England in the morning, before transferring across southern counties on England in the afternoon. The M4 corridor is likely to be the northern extent.

There will be other places where rain is more certain. Just now, this is expected to be southern Scotland and the borders region, probably slipping through northeast England during the day on Sunday.

Whatever happens, keep the sun shining.


Simon